Wednesday, October 1, 2008

An Obama Wind

According to almost every poll imaginable, Obama is pulling into substantial leads in Florida and Ohio, and pulling ahead in a number of other states. Some numbers with explanation at Huffpo, and just reams of data for those of that persuasion here at RCP.

I think the interesting thing about the second link is that, I believe for the first time, Obama-Biden run the board, ahead in every poll. It's an awful lot of blue in that column.

Of course, the next debate is tomorrow, and while they are usually important, the relatively controlled nature of access to McPalin has infused them with increasing significance this year. One has to assume that each of them will result in relatively energetic adjustments to the numbers. One also has to assume that McCain won't get many more opportunities to do anything so stupid as suspend his campaign again in the next 34 days. But then, it's probably too late already- according to the Perot Doctrine, suspending your campaign at all is the kiss of death.

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