Showing posts with label political strategy. Show all posts
Showing posts with label political strategy. Show all posts

Tuesday, January 27, 2009

The Folly of Obama

I should have turned my attention toward this long before, but I'd like to offer up my thoughts on Obama's strategy as it relates to passing a stimulus bill. I'd been willing to give him the benefit of the doubt on some level, until I saw this presser today.

Here's the problem: when he says we need to "put politics aside", I fear he actually means that was part of his approach to passing this bill. He says there are some "philosophical differences" between he and the Republicans, and that he wishes they had a better idea of what was in the bill. Watch the video. Am I the only one that feels like there's a glimmer of deer in the headlights about him, or at least the beginning of a realization that things aren't going the way he planned?

He thought in a time of national crisis he could assemble a broad coalition and that that coalition could subsequently create an agenda. And that, respectfully, is a fool's errand. You need to set an agenda and find a way - any way - to accomplish it. You never alter exactly what you want, never make a compromise from what you believe is best, unless not doing so threatens the agenda itself. Thus good governing boils down to the quality of the agenda itself and nothing else. Bush understood that. His failure was that his agenda was reckless and foolish; a failure of ideas, not accomplishment. When Obama says he wants to leave politics aside he's making a devastating miscalculation: it's all politics. Once you set it aside, there's nothing left. Josh Marshall hits the nail on the head in this post when he writes:

I hear a lot of talk about whether Obama's governing approach can be 'bipartisan' if a good number of Republicans don't vote for his Stimulus Bill. But that dubious point seems to be obscuring a more obvious and telling reality: the Republican leadership in both houses has decided that it's in their political interest to oppose the Stimulus Bill no matter what.

In the most cynical of evaluations, it's not clear to me that they're incorrect. If the stimulus is judged a success, their political gain from adding more votes to what will be seen as Obama's bill will not be that great. So they're figuring that only failure will work for them politically; and they judge that they want Obama to own it entirely.

What Obama inappropriately labels philosophical differences are actually political differences. And before Democrats get on their high horses about how cynical it is to play politics with policies that effect people's lives (and it is), remember that it was the Democrats that had a chance to halt funding in Iraq two years ago, but made the political decision to go ahead and fund it because they knew Republicans owned the misadventure and that it would probably continue to weigh them down come '08 (which it arguably did).

All that aside, it's almost incomprehensible that Obama believed that men the likes of John Boehner and Mitch McConnell would meet him halfway on anything that wasn't 100% in their political interests. Obama can bring science (back) to Washington. He can bring expertise, multilateralism, deliberation, transparency, accountability, and even the rule of law if he wants to. But he cannot bring decency. He can't bring personal or political sacrifice either. Not from his ruling party, and most certainly not from the opposition.

As I said in an earlier post, politics is the art of winning and nothing more. You make the tough choices about what to put on your flag, about who and what to fight for -- not by calling time out and trying to change the rules.

Thursday, July 31, 2008

McCain's Final and Dumbest Mistake, or a Misreport

I don't know if anyone has seen or heard about this report by David Kiley over at BusinessWeek. Hopefully, by now we've all seen or are aware of the negative ad run by the McCain campaign that falsely claimed that Obama canceled a visit with wounded troops in Germany last week because the Pentagon wouldn't allow him to bring reporters.

Kiley writes:
What the McCain campaign doesn’t want people to know, according to one GOP strategist I spoke with over the weekend, is that they had an ad script ready to go if Obama had visited the wounded troops saying that Obama was...wait for it...using wounded troops as campaign props.
After talking about it with my friend DB, a fellow political junkie, I think there are two salient points.

The first is that if this is true -- if this "ad script" exists, if McCain was even vaguely aware of this strategy, I think the race might be effectively over for him. Putting aside my personal feelings for a moment, and considering just the political ramifications, this plays extremely badly, and right into the worst possible narrative for John McCain at the worst possible time. It is the naked, absolute, height of political cynicism and negativity. I think Jon Q Voter will react viscerally and negatively toward it, and I don't know how you win them back. This is ethical bankruptcy in its most obvious form, and it's not even hard to explain or understand.

The second point is that I have to question the veracity of this strategist's claim. Everything I wrote in the previous paragraph is utterly predictable. Though I believe some campaigns are capable of actually doing something this diabolical (perhaps even McCain's), I simply have a hard time believing that this was anywhere approaching a formal strategy. I think it is more likely that someone from the campaign was making a barroom boast to the effect of, "we'll get him either way", or that this GOP strategist was simply conjecturing what they believe McCain camp would have done had Obama gone through with the troop visit. It's very difficult for me to swallow that this ever rose to the point of formal discussion of any kind, much less that preliminary work was undertaken to execute such a strategy.

I'm assuming we'll know in the coming days. Stay tuned.

Post Script: To quote Will Ferrell -- am I taking crazy pills or something? Though I've seen the story mentioned on a couple of lefty blogs, it hasn't gained any serious traction anywhere. How is this not a big deal? I don't pretend to have my finger perfectly on the pulse of American media or public, but I guess I seriously misjudged the inertia of this. If anyone has ideas about why this isn't an issue, or at least why the Obama campaign isn't indirectly making it one, I'd love to hear them.