Not liking how McCain seems to be out to early leads everywhere, even if it is with .2% of precincts reporting.
Anytime you're ready, Virginia...
Showing posts with label Polls. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Polls. Show all posts
Tuesday, November 4, 2008
GAME ON!!
So Matt Drudge is covering his site with voting irregularities, including the first lawsuit, as McCain sues in North Carolina to allow military voters an additional two weeks to have their military ballots arrive. So far, I don't care.
The morning was, again, spent in GOTV activities here in my corner of the Republic, and let me say this- to the Obama volunteer who brought in the homemade oatmeal-walnut-chocolate chip cookies: You were the reason I was sleepy all afternoon, and I worship the mixing bowl you bake with. Seriously. Mmmmmmmm...
The first polls are about to close. My new dual-monitor setup is streaming more information than I can possibly process at once. The fridge is full. Seat belts are fastened and tray tables have been set to their upright positions.
One more hour to wait until the blackout lifts.
Are you ready for some complex statistical analysis?
The morning was, again, spent in GOTV activities here in my corner of the Republic, and let me say this- to the Obama volunteer who brought in the homemade oatmeal-walnut-chocolate chip cookies: You were the reason I was sleepy all afternoon, and I worship the mixing bowl you bake with. Seriously. Mmmmmmmm...
The first polls are about to close. My new dual-monitor setup is streaming more information than I can possibly process at once. The fridge is full. Seat belts are fastened and tray tables have been set to their upright positions.
One more hour to wait until the blackout lifts.
Are you ready for some complex statistical analysis?
Wednesday, October 22, 2008
Landslide?
Pollster John Zogby: “Three big days for Obama. Anything can happen, but time is running short for McCain. These numbers, if they hold, are blowout numbers. They fit the 1980 model with Reagan's victory over Carter -- but they are happening 12 days before Reagan blasted ahead. If Obama wins like this we can be talking not only victory but realignment: he leads by 27 points among Independents, 27 points among those who have already voted, 16 among newly registered voters, 31 among Hispanics, 93%-2% among African Americans, 16 among women, 27 among those 18-29, 5 among 30-49 year olds, 8 among 50-64s, 4 among those over 65, 25 among Moderates, and 12 among Catholics (which is better than Bill Clinton's 10-point victory among Catholics in 1996). He leads with men by 2 points, and is down among whites by only 6 points, down 2 in armed forces households, 3 among investors, and is tied among NASCAR fans.”
This is from Zogby- about as pessimistic as it gets. See all the pretty numbers here.
This is from Zogby- about as pessimistic as it gets. See all the pretty numbers here.
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